Jul 22, 2013; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Los Angeles Dodgers shortstop Hanley Ramirez (13) gets congratulated after scoring in the sixth inning against the Toronto Blue Jays at the Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Blue October:Dodgers Now Have Close To 50% Chance Of Making Playoffs


According to the Cool Standings postseason odds, the Dodgers now have a 50% chance to win the division and make the playoffs.

The Dodgers are one of the hottest teams in Baseball right now. After their 14-5 drubbing of the Blue Jays, and coupled with the Snakes losing to the Cubs last night, the Dodgers have moved into first place all by themselves. The Dodgers are one of their hottest tears in years, which has seen the team take over the top spot in the division for the first time this year. The club has won 21 of their last 26 games and four in a row. The Dodgers haven’t lost a series in over a month, and with every win their chances of making the playoffs in 2013 go up tremendously.

Tremendous is a good word for how the Dodgers have been playing for the last month. With a half game lead over Arizona, the incredible Dodgers have a 51-47 record, and have improved to the fifth best record in the National League. According to the odds makers, the Dodgers have a 46.9 % chance of winning the division, and a 49.8% chance of making the playoffs. Although with the Dodgers still trailing the Reds by four games in the loss column, their chances of winning a wild card spot remain low at 2.9%. That’s ok since I would rather have the Dodgers win the division. Still the closer they are to the top four teams in the National League their odds of making the playoffs will increase even more.

West

W

L

PCT

GB

RS

RA

EXPW

EXPL

DIV

WC

POFF

Los Angeles

51

47

.520

-

389

388

83.5

78.5

46.9

2.9

49.8

Arizona

51

48

.515

0.5

407

401

82.1

79.9

34.6

3.3

37.9

Colorado

48

52

.480

4

441

437

78.1

83.9

13.2

1.8

15.0

San Francisco

45

53

.459

6

385

435

73.7

88.3

4.0

0.5

4.5

San Diego

44

56

.440

8

397

458

70.5

91.5

1.2

0.1

1.4

The rest of the division has been sinking like a stone, and their playoff odds have sunk epically like Ryan Braun’s fan base. The lowly Padres who I hope are enjoying their new home in the NL West basement have a miniscule 1.4% chance of making the playoffs. Barring a miracle, the Padres will be playing golf come October. Also not making the playoffs will be the Giants. I know they are the defending champions and being so you can’t ever count them out. However they are really having quite the miserable season. They’re currently in fourth place six games behind the Dodgers. They’re eight games under .500 and for the first time in years may be forced to sell at the July 31 trade deadline. The Giants odds of making the playoffs this year sit at just 4.5%. Perfect. That should assure the hated Giants are watching the playoffs from their living room couches. Get comfy there Buster.

The improved Colorado Rockies can’t even beat the Marlins, and while they are drastically improved from the 98 loss team in 2012, their inconsistent offense has placed them with a 15% chance of making the postseason in 2013.

Speaking of poor offenses, the cratering Snake’s mediocre lineup has been hindering them to the point where they have lost four out of five since the break, as they have fallen out of first place in the NL West. Their chances of winning the division have lowered to 34.6%, and their odds to make the playoffs drop firmly at 37.9%. I feel no sympathy for them whatsoever.

Since the Dodgers have a four game series against the Reds beginning on Thursday. They could sure use this opportunity to not only gain more ground on the rest of the division, but also on the Reds.

The Dodgers as of the moment are on track to finish with an 84-78 record, according to their expected season winning percentage. The Dodgers winning percentage right now sits at .520. Of course with the club playing so fantastic, that will surely increase as well.

The Dodgers are now once again the favorites to win the NL West. The rest of the division is floundering, and it delights me.

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Tags: Los Angeles Dodgers

  • EastCoastDodgerObserver

    say what you will about his in-game decision making, but you have to give Mattingly some credit. Guy kept his cool and simply said “have patience” and look what happened. Players go as their manager goes and this bunch could have easily panicked in May/early June, but Donnie Baseball didn’t and neither did his players. Maybe that little brawl circa 1987 helped spark this little rally they’ve been enjoying. I’ve see Mattingly get crucified on this blog so I think it’s time you tipped your cap to the man and gave him a little credit for keeping this Dodger ship intact.

    • LasordasLair

      I agree, I and I will. You’re right. I guess his patience did pay off. His patience and steady hand has helped the moral of the team tremendously. I’m glad things worked out this way. I’ve always wanted him to succeed, but things had gotten so bad for a while, it just seemed like it would never happen. Thank god. I will gladly eat all the crow in the world, as long as the Dodgers win. I’ve got a big apology ready for Donnie.

      • EastCoastDodgerObserver

        atta boy

  • Rhonda Wood

    East coast, sure wish he had pulled Matt, after he walked in the 9th Sunday! He had already pulled Gonzo, and Hanley, Bison should not have been running the bases, after chance for cycle was gone! We have to remember Donnie was never a head coach when Torie quit, but he’s learning. He’s handled Puig pretty well, letting him do his thing, and correcting him when he does something wrong. Anybody feel sorry for Crymondbacks or Giants?

    • EastCoastDodgerObserver

      as mentioned, you may not love his in-game strategy/management from time to time, but his overall body of work and how he handles players/expectations/media is very good if not great. I agree that Kemp should have been pulled, but, to be clear, he got hurt because he lolly-gagged his way to home. That one is on Kemp and Kemp alone.

      • LasordasLair

        Yeah I agree with this. It was really Kemp’s fault for not staying focused. he lost concentration and spaced out. Mattingly and the coaches need to work on keeping him on point during games.

        • EastCoastDodgerObserver

          agreed. Kemp is an interesting fellow…80% of the time he gives you 110%…and it’s a thing to marvel at. The other 20% you get what you saw the other night with him trotting half a$$ed home. Likely one of those athletes where you have to take the good with the bad. As long as the good happens 80% of the time, I’m fine with it…and I’ll bet Donnie is too.

          • LasordasLair

            100% agree with this. He is one of the best players in the game, but he can lose focus at times. Baseball can be a very mental game, and I;m sure Donnie said something to him after he did that. Reminds of that play back in June of 2010 when the Dodgers were playing the Angels in Anaheim. Down by two runs in the ninth, they rallied to score one run, but were screwed out of the inning by two costly base-running blunders. I remember Russell Martin getting picked off of second base, and then Reed Johnson jogging home on a hit as Martin was getting thrown out. reminds me of what Bison did. But like you said I’ll take that in exchange for his amazing talent and power.

    • LasordasLair

      I feel nothing for those teams Rhonda. Those teams do not get one ounce of sympathy from me. I hope they drown in sorrow and losing. I will gloat like never before if the Dodgers win the division.
      As for Mattingly, I don’t know if you can really fault him for not taking out Kemp in the 9th. The reason I say that is because Kemp has missed so much time, he didn’t need anymore rest. he needs to play. I think Kemp just made a huge mental mistake on the base paths, and its going to cost him big time. He needs to stay focused in games more.
      Oh geez look at me defending Mattingly, lolz, my have things changed….;)

  • Rhonda Wood

    You guys are right about one thing, in Washington this weekend they were calling for Davie Johnson to be fired, because the players are not playing at the level, they did last year when they won the east. I mean this man has been one of the best coaches in baseball for many years, give him some respect!